The Miami Dolphins face their toughest test Saturday night in Orchard Park. And Tua's cold weather stats are not very good. Miami has lost their last 2 games. The first 2 games where Tua Tagovailoa has lost games that he started and finished in 2022. If Miami wants to stay in the AFC East hunt with Buffalo, they have to win this game. The Chargers game was the worst game Tua has played in 2022, and it ain't even close. He posted season lows (outside of the Cincinnati game where he was injured) in completions, yards, and Passer Rating. Sunday night was also Tua's second lowest QBR game. His worst is the week prior against San Francisco. Tua is not the only one to blame for the back-to-back losses. He is also part of the problem though.
For all the complaining Bills fans did after they lost to Miami in 95 degree weather in Miami during the September matchup, the weather Saturday night will play a bigger factor. The Miami Dolphis are on an 8-game losing streak with a kickoff temperature of 40 or below. In those games they are losing by an average of 20.5 points per game. Almost 3 touchdowns. And the early weather forecasts call for snow in Buffalo Saturday with a kickoff temperature in the upper 20's. There are some positives for Miami in this spot though. Miami's week 3 win over the Bills was one of the best defensive displays of the season- limiting the bills to just 19 points with over 40 minutes of possession. And 2 of those points came off a safety on a punt. Here are some Tua cold weather stats and more nuggets around this game.
Editor note: These stats were compiled on December 15th, 2022. For an updated discussion on the Dolphins - Chiefs game scheduled for Saturday January 13, 2024 - that article can be found here: How Does Tua Perform in Cold Weather
Below 50 Degrees at Kickoff
- 0-3
- 2 Touchdowns; 4 Interceptions
- 14 QBR in those 3 games while posting a total QBR below 20 in all of those games
Recent Struggles
- 0-2 in last 2 games against the 49ers and Chargers
- 45.9 completion percentage in those games
- 22 Total QBR in last 2 games
- He is 8-1, 69.7%, 83 Total QBR in first 9 games
As a Big Dog
- Tua is 0-2 outright in career when an underdog of 7+ points (Buffalo -7 right now)
- 1-0-1 ATS when a 7+ point dog
- Last time he was a 7-plus point underdog was last season at Buffalo as a 15-point dog. They lost the game by 15
Tua vs. Allen this Season
Tua Tagovialoa | Josh Allen | |
| Total QBR | 3rd | 2nd |
| Yards per Dropback | 1st | 3rd |
| 1st Down pct | 2nd | 5th |
| Pass TD pct | 2nd | 7th |
No YAC Needed
Tua Tagovialoa | Josh Allen | |
| Pct of att 15+ air yads | 4th | 6th |
| Air yds per att | 2nd | 6th |
| YAC per comp | 23rd | 25th |
Tau Thrives on Saturday
- 32-1 in NFL/collegiate career playing on Saturday
- 1-0 in NFL
- 22-1 at Alabama
