Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles The Vegas Factor

Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles The Vegas Factor.  Well, it's that time again when many dreams will come true or be totally shattered. That depends on what happens in Super Bowl 57.  Here's what you need to know.

The odds for the Kansas City Chiefs winning the Super Bowl were +650 when they were first released, but they dropped to 11-1 before the season started. The Philadelphia Eagles' odds of winning the Super Bowl were 40-1 when they were first released, but went up to 50-1 before the A.J. Brown trade and became 25-1 when the season began. They were considered the favorites to win the NFC after Week 3.

At 25-1, the Eagles would be the biggest preseason longshots to win the Super Bowl since 2017, the only other time the Eagles won the Super Bowl (40-1).

The Kansas City Chiefs entered the playoffs as +340 favorites to win the Super Bowl, becoming the first team to enter the playoffs as the Super Bowl favorite and then become an underdog in the Super Bowl since 2004.

The Philadelphia Eagles entered the playoffs that year as +500 favorites, but were 7-point underdogs in the Super Bowl against the New England Patriots and lost the game by 3 points.

The Chiefs actually have a losing ATS record at 8-11, while the Eagles are 10-9. The Chiefs are the sixth team to reach the Super Bowl with a losing ATS record. Four of the previous five lost the Super Bowl. The Chiefs’ 11 ATS losses are the most ever by a team entering the Super Bowl and their 8-11 ATS record is the 2nd-worst percentage entering the game (1997 Packers).

If Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are an underdog in the Super Bowl, it would be the 10th time in Mahomes' career that he has been in this situation. He has a 6-3 record outright when he is an underdog, which is tied with Jimmy Garoppolo (14-7) for the best outright winning percentage in the Super Bowl era among QBs with at least 8 starts.

Additionally, Mahomes has a 7-1-1 record against the spread (ATS) when he is an underdog, which is the best ATS record of any QB with at least 8 starts.

The Chiefs have never been a playoff underdog in the Patrick Mahomes era. Mahomes has been a favorite in all 13 playoff starts, by far the longest streak by any QB to begin his postseason career in the Super Bowl era (next-most: Kurt Warner, 7). It is one game shy of the longest streak at any point in a player’s career.

Underdogs have a 8-7 record outright and a 10-5 record against the spread (ATS) in the last 15 Super Bowls. The Cincinnati Bengals were an underdog in the last Super Bowl and lost, but covered the 4.5-point spread against the Los Angeles Rams.

In 12 of the last 13 Super Bowls, the spread did not impact the outcome of the game, with the exception being last season's Super Bowl.

If you have been listening to the Shemon and Sheppard Show 2-6pm you know that I am on fire!  16-2 in my picks on the show my last 18 including giving you TCU-1.5 last night over West Virginia.  More picks coming up at the end of today's show.  Join us!

Sadly, Cindy William passed away at the age of 75. Williams is best known for her TV role as Shirley in Laverne and Shirley. Laverne and Shirley aired on ABC in the 1970's as a part of classic wholesome evening sitcoms that aired at the time. In fact, the show came from a TV lineage that included Happy Days, Mork from Ork and Joanie Loves Chachi. Classics then, however not all stand the test of time. But they were the real deal for Americans at the time. Much simpler times, in fact.

You younger folks may want to sit this one out.  But we will look back in time today with Laverne and Shirley trivia on Wiki-Pete-ia during Shemon and Sheppard on ESPN Southwest Florida.