10 NFL Over/Unders I Love

The NFL Over/Unders for win totals are out, and some of them I feel are pretty accurate. I (Chris) did, however find 10 that we feel are wrong. Now that we have a pretty good idea of what each team's rosters will look like (unless the entire team gets hurt in training camp - like the Ravens last year), the show will take a look at some over/unders that may be underrating the teams. And, of course, some teams that we feel will not be as good as expected.

The Cardinals have made a habit of starting the season hot and cooling off dramatically once the calendar turns to November. They’ve got KC, LV, and the Rams to start the season- all without DeAndre Hopkins. The only for sure wins on the schedule after November are Seattle at home on the road at Atlanta in week 17.

This was an 8 win team last season with their top-3 running backs and entire secondary out for the season. They’ll come back this season healthy (fingers crossed) and won’t lose their final 6 games like they did last year.

Chicago is going to be terrible this year. They didn’t make any obvious improvements on offense while losing talent on defense- the unit that carried them last year. Looking at their schedule they might only be favored in 2 games this year. Even if they beat the Lions twice, split with the Vikings, split with the Dolphins and Commanders, and beat the Jets and Falcons, they still need to find another win. Not going to happen.

They went 6-0 in the division last season with all wins coming by more than a TD. They actually dominated the NFC East outscoring the other 6 teams 240-107. Giving them 6 there and adding 3 wins from the NFC North, and 2 wins vs. the AFC South we’re already at 11.

 The Vikings were an 8 win team last year and lost a lot of talent on Defense. I don’t see a scenario where they win more than 3 in the NFC North, and they play the NFC East- 2 wins- and the AFC East- 2 wins MAYBE. We’re only at 7. I see a push at worst.

This was a 9 win team last year with Carson Wentz under Center and losing the final game of the season to Jacksonville. Matt Ryan will be the steady hand needed to not lose games. I got them going 5-1 in the division, getting 2 wins vs. the AFC West, and 3 wins vs. the NFC East. That’s 10 folks, and I haven’t listed the Steelers yet, which I think is another win.

This was a 9 win team that improved tremendously on defense while not losing anything on offense. I know the division is tough, but if Justin Herbert is really a “DUDE” and the next great QB of the league, 10 wins is a must.

Mike Tomlin is still the coach so…. I’m not going to bet against them. I think a strong argument can be made that the QB play could be some of the worst in the AFC, but I’m going to have to see. I don’t think their QB play has been great the last 2 seasons anyway, and they still managed 12 and 9 win seasons. They’re consistent, and that’s the play here.

This schedule is an absolute beast to start the season. Baltimore, A Cleveland, Cincinnati, @Pittsburgh, Miami, @ Green Bay, @Denver, New England, Buffalo, BYE, and New England before hitting the stretch that is more manageable. I think this team will be improved, but the schedule makers at the NFL didn’t do them any favors. Even if they sweep Chicago, Detroit, Jacksonville, and Seattle games they still need to find 2 more wins to get to 6.

It’s Tom Brady. I don’t think he loses more than 5 games this season as Tampa will fight for home field throughout the NFC Playoffs. I see 9 wins fore sure (5 in the division, 2 vs. the NFC West, 2 vs. the AFC North), which means they need to find 3 wins in the remaining 8 games.