The College Football Playoff is set. Top ranked Georgia will play Ohio State in the Peach Bowl while TCU and Michigan will face off in the Fiesta Bowl. The matchups are solid, and most people thing the Selection Committee got it right. But this will be the penultimate version of the 4-team playoff. It was announced last week that the playoff will expand to 12 teams for the 2024 season. It has been the Rose Bowl as the only obstacle in the way of expansion. But last week they put their ego aside for the betterment of the sport. Thank you, Rose Bowl. What a 12 team playoff would look like for the 2022 season.
The 12 team playoff will consist of the 6 highest ranked conference champs, with the next 6 highest ranked teams. The four highest seeded conference champions will get the 1st round bye. So because TCU and Ohio State are not conference champs, they would have to play in the opening round. Clemson and Utah would join Georgia and Michigan as teams getting the bye. The six conference champions in a 12 team playoff would be the four previously mentioned along with Kansas State and Tulane out of the AAC. The at-large teams would be TCU, Ohio State, Alabama, Tennessee, USC, and Penn State.
For the opening round matchups, the higher seeded team would host the lower seeded team. Or they could play it at the venue of the home teams choosing. I can't think of many instances where this would happen. Maybe LSU moving a game to the Superdome, or a Texas school going to Jerry's World. So let's take a look at what a 12 team playoff would look like.
(9) Tennessee @ (8) Kansas State
Your Big 12 Champs would host a Tennessee side without Hendon Hooker. Winner would get the Georgia Bulldogs.
(12) Tulane @ (5) TCU
TCU is not a conference champ, so they would not get the first round bye. Tulane gets in as the 6th highest ranked conference champion. Winner here would get Utah, who is the 4th highest ranked conference champ.
(11) Penn St. @ (6) Ohio State
Can you say rematch. Ohio State beat Penn State 44-31 back in October. That game was in Happy Valley. This would be in Columbus. Winner here gets Clemson- who is the 3 seed.
(10) USC @ (7) Alabama
This would be the biggest matchup in the 1st round of the CFP. Alabama beat up on bad teams, but had a tough time against the upper echelon of college football. USC had a tough loss against Utah for the 2nd time this season. Winner here would get Michigan.
Even After Hurricane Ian, People Are Still Leaving Cities Like San Francisco, New York, And Chicago And Moving To Cape Coral And North Port
If you thought the hurricane would slow down the migration to Southwest Florida, think again. Redfin just released new migration trends that include the month of October and Cape Coral and North Port are both high on the list. But why? The entire month of October was nothing but headlines about how much damage this area took. Could it be that the threat of a hurricane is still better than the idea of living in one of those cities? Of the top 10 migration cities, 5 are here in Florida, “That’s despite the fact that the state was hit by Hurricane Ian, one of the deadliest, most destructive storms in U.S. history, in September,” Redfin reported. “Coastal Florida is especially popular, even after getting pummeled by Hurricane Ian.”
The price of a strip of sand in Fort Myers beach shows this:
That's more than a million dollars to buy some sand where a house used to be. My friend Chris is still kicking himself.
Redfin shows 24.1% of its users want to leave their current metro area.
The report states “an unprecedented portion are relocating to new metros. Many are seeking relative affordability as near-7% mortgage rates and persistently high home prices make expensive parts of the country even more expensive.” And Florida is high up on the list of where they want to move. Including North Port and Cape Coral.
There's another interesting part of the study. It shows not just where people are moving to, but also where they're moving from. Specifically, the largest block of people currently moving to Southwest Florida are coming from Chicago. I get it. I've been to Chicago. Amazing food, amazing night life, a great sports town, but.... High crime rate, rats the size of dogs, and the cold. Even in the June, the way the wind rips through downtown, I was freezing.
There was a similar study conducted before the hurricane, "A Record Number Of California And New York Residents Moved To Florida Last Month." If it seems familiar, it was the study that Governor DeSantis kept referring to during the election.
So where does North Port and Cape Coral stack up?
The Redfin migration analysis is based on about two million Redfin.com users. The data set is from August 2022 to October 2022. Here's Redfin's Top 10 Metros Homebuyers Are Moving Into, by Net Inflow. Net inflow = Number of Redfin.com home searchers looking to move into a metro area, minus the number of searchers looking to leave
10. Orlando
A net inflow of 3,700 over the 3 month period. The top origin from relocation is New York. makes sense, Orlando still has a lot of that international feel that a New Yorker is used to. Plus they have the world's largest McDonald's.
9. Dallas Texas
A net inflow of 3,800 with the top origin of Los Angeles.
8. North Port / Sarasota.
A net inflow of 4,300 and the top origin is Chicago. That's and area that took a direct hit from Ian. 4,300 families decided that a hurricane is still less scary than Chicago.
7. Cape Coral
A net inflow of 4,600 and the top origin is also Chicago. We may need an additional study as to why SWFL is so popular with Chicago people. Chicago Pizza on 47th Terrace about to get even busier.
6. Phoenix Arizona
The 'Florida of the West' saw a net inflow 4,700 with the largest group coming from Los Angeles.
5. Tampa
A net inflow of 5,600 with the top origin being New York.
4. San Diego California
The net inflow was 6,500 and people didn't come from far. The top origin was Los Angeles.
3. Miami
A net inflow of 6,700 with the top origin being New York. I'm not surprised by this, I think every New Yorker wishes they lived in Miami.
2. Las Vegas Nevada
A net inflow of 7,100 and the top origin is Los Angeles.
1. Sacramento California
A net inflow of 7,800 and the top origin being San Francisco.
Is the hurricane scaring people away?
In a simple answer, nope. Sure, I know there's people that want out, but there's even more people looking to replace them. I had friends that stayed with me for awhile after Ian demolished their home. They're buying a place further north. As in 'near Orlando'. Staying in Florida. Many people would rather live where there are hurricanes, then live in some of those northern cities and all of their problems.
