NEW YORK, NEW YORK – APRIL 08: Derek Hill #3 of the Miami Marlins connects on his sixth inning two run home run against the New York Mets at Citi Field on April 08, 2025 in New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
The Washington Nationals will open their season series against the Miami Marlins later today. The two NL East rivals are both off to less-than-stellar starts, with the Nationals sporting a 5-7 record while the Marlins have posted a 6-6 mark.
Luckily for the Nationals, they will have the man responsible for two of their wins on the mound in this game. Lefty Mitchell Parker has produced two fantastic outings for Washington, pitching a total of just over 12 innings while allowing only a single run. The Marlins have been a bottom-ten team in most metrics at the plate, giving Parker a great opportunity to continue his string of quality starts.
Miami's starter, Cal Quantrill, has not had the consistently smooth start to the season that his Washington counterpart has. After getting shelled by the New York Mets for six runs in four innings in his season opener, Quantrill proceeded to toss five frames of scoreless ball against the ice-cold Atlanta Braves in his next time out. Somehow, the Nationals have been a better offensive team than both of Quantrill's previous opponents, ensuring that this is his toughest matchup of the season to date.
Spread
- Nationals -1.5 (+138)
- Marlins +1.5 (-169)
Moneyline
- Nationals -122
- Marlins +103
Totals
- Over 8 (-120)
- Under 8 (-108)
*The above data was collected on April 11, 2025, and may have changed since writing.
Nationals vs Marlins Betting Trends
- The Nationals are 6-6 ATS this season.
- The Nationals are 0-3 ATS when playing on the road.
- The over is 2-0 when the Nationals play after a day of rest.
- The Marlins are 5-1 ATS when they enter the game as home underdogs on the run line.
- The Marlins are 4-4 ATS against NL East opponents.
- The over is 4-2 when the Marlins are home underdogs.
Nationals vs Marlins Injury Reports
Washington Nationals
- Andres Chaparro, UTIL - Out.
- Derek Law, RP - Out.
Miami Marlins
- Connor Norby, 3B - Out.
- Jesus Sanchez, DH - Out.
- Andrew Nardi, RP - Out.
- Declan Cronin, RP - Out.
- Jesus Tinoco, RP - Out.
Nationals vs Marlins Predictions and Picks
Jake Faigus of ClutchPoints writes "These teams are very similar on paper, and each offense has not been able to stand out, but the key is Parker on the mound for the Nationals. The Nationals win and cover, thanks to Parker, even on the road."
Faigus certainly makes some valid points. The Nationals have almost every advantage, apart from home-field, in this game. Parker has been lights-out, and Washington has been better at the plate than the Marlins this entire season. However, the spread is a bit too risky to bet on. This is a game between NL East divisional rivals, making it more unpredictable than most others. Luckily, the Washington moneyline is not as poorly priced as it should be. Trust the Nationals to continue their hot streak at the plate and give Quantrill his second bad outing of the year. After Quantrill is pulled, Miami's injuries in the bullpen will allow for Washington's batters to continue the onslaught. Meanwhile, Parker should have another efficient outing that keeps the abysmal Nationals' bullpen out of the equation for as long as possible.
