You may not want to hear this, but as it turns out, Florida is actually in for a colder Christmas than normal. It may seem early to start thinking about Christmas, but Thanksgiving is just a few weeks away, and there's less than two months to go until Christmas is here. Besides, if you're planning to travel over the holidays, chances are you already have your travel plans set and are just hoping for good weather at this point. So, now is the time to look ahead and plan for those holiday travels, because you never can plan too early for a fun and safe Christmas.
Florida is in for a Freezing Christmas
The weather experts at the Farmer's Almanac have released their annual prediction for what Christmas will look like across America. I know it seems early to predict weather on December 25, but they've been doing it for years.
If you're wondering how accurate weather forecasts tend to be, as you might expect, they get more accurate the closer weather experts are to predicting them. "A seven-day forecast can accurately predict the weather about 80 percent of the time and a five-day forecast can accurately predict the weather approximately 90 percent of the time. However, a 10-day—or longer—forecast is only right about half the time," notes SciJinks. They also explain that "meteorologists use computer programs called weather models to make forecasts," but "since we can’t collect data from the future, models have to use estimates and assumptions to predict future weather." So, we're looking at about half the accuracy, but since this predicted is pretty far out, it could be even less. Still, it's fun to see what the Farmer's Almanac predicts.
Christmas falls on Wednesday, December 25, this year. The Farmer's Almanac forecast runs from Christmas Eve, December 24, until Wednesday, December 27, 2024. For Florida, the Farmer's Almanac map shows Florida as one of the only states in dark green, meaning it's going to be "cold." They state that "most of the U.S. has average to above-average temperatures, so many people are looking at a mild month," but "the exception is the eastern Carolinas through Florida and Alaska, which will be below normal." Their forecast also calls for rain on Christmas in Florida. So, cold and rainy.
In general for the U.S., they note that December precipitation will be above normal in parts of the Great Lakes, Tennessee Valley, Texas–Oklahoma, and the northern Pacific Northwest. Everywhere else, precipitation is expected to be "near to below normal."
Nobody likes dealing with severe weather. But, it's part of life. Depending on where you live in the United States, you might come up against hurricanes, tornados, severe thunderstorms, blizzards and more. I've certainly had my fair share of severe weather events. Probably my most vivid memory was being in an ice storm, which knocked power out for about a week where I lived, including during Christmas. It was freezing cold, so my family and I had to go to a hotel that was out of town. Needless to say, our Christmas plans were totally different that year. So, what are some severe weather safety tips that may safe your life?
Before we get to the main tips, let's get through some basics. Stay informed when a severe weather event is approaching. It's simple but important. You don't want to be caught off guard when bad weather strikes. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and National Weather Service both have information that they provide leading up to and during a severe weather event. So, make sure to get the latest information in the case of any weather emergency. Local meteorologists also have good information, but the main alerts come from the National Weather Service.
Another mistake some people make is not taking "watches" seriously. For example, you might see that there's a severe thunderstorm watch in your area and think, oh, it's just a watch, I can go out for a walk. Don't do it. "A watch is used when the risk of a hazardous weather or hydrologic event has increased significantly, but its occurrence, location or timing is still uncertain," the National Weather Service explains. We'll get more into the specifics of a watch, warning and advisory later in this story.
Let's get into some severe weather safety tips that may safe your life.
1. Know the Difference Between an Advisory, Watch and Warning
A weather advisory, watch and warning all need to be taken seriously. So, what do they mean? According to the National Weather Service, "a warning is issued when a hazardous weather or hydrologic event is occurring, imminent or likely." A watch is where "the risk of a hazardous weather or hydrologic event has increased significantly, but its occurrence, location or timing is still uncertain." Finally, an advisory means, "hazardous weather or hydrologic event is occurring, imminent or likely."
2. Stay Inside at All Costs
During a severe thunderstorm, and any severe weather event, the best thing to do is stay inside and sheltered. "The best defense against thunderstorms is to stay inside a sturdy building or shelter that can protect you from deadly lightning, large hail, damaging winds, flooding rain and tornadoes," the National Weather Service says. Also, you don't want to risk getting hit by lightning, like in the image below.
3. Get Low and Protected
During a tornado, get underground if possible. If you don't have a basement, get to the lowest floor possible. Also, during a tornado, watch for flying and falling debris. The National Weather Service advises to "use pillows, blankets, coats, helmets, etc. to cover up and protect your head and body from flying debris."
4. Always Have an Emergency Kit
Be prepared. Have a good emergency kit, both in your house and your car. For the car, "An emergency kit should include booster cables, shovel, tow rope, sand or cat litter, and a flashlight with extra batteries," the National Weather Service says. "Do not forget a first aid kit, non-perishable food, and blankets or sleeping bags."
5. Stay Gassed Up
This one my mom and dad always tell me to do. And, they're right. "Keep your gas tank near full to avoid ice in the tank and fuel line," the National Weather Service advises.
6. Be Prepared for Heat, Too
Heat can make for a severe weather event, too. So, dress appropriately when it gets really hot. "Lightweight, light-colored clothing reflects heat and sunlight, and helps your body maintain normal temperatures," the National Weather Service says. They add to guzzle lots of "water or non-alcoholic fluids."
7. Don't Stick Around
Sometimes, you just have to leave ahead of the storm to be safe. In the case of a hurricane, the National Weather Service says to "leave immediately if ordered." They also say that if you are allowed to stay, to "take refuge in a small interior room, closet or hallway on the lowest level during the storm. Put as many walls between you and the outside as you can," and "stay away from windows, skylights and glass doors."
More tips
Weather isn't just about thunderstorms and tornados. Air quality is a big part of weather events these days, too. Be on the lookout for air quality alerts in your area. If you have respiratory issues, you should wear a mask when out and about in bad air quality. You should also say inside if the air quality is especially bad.
Be safe on the beach
Even on a perfect weather day, if you're at the beach, there are risks. The NOAA states, "To stay safe, you need to stay aware of the weather, the ocean, tide, and what is going on around you." They add, "Storms, such as thunderstorms, tropical storms, and hurricanes far out at sea can create dangerous waves and currents at the beach, even on a sunny day!"